SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Independiente del Valle win with a probability of 42.46%. A win for Boca Juniors had a probability of 31% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Independiente del Valle win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.76%) and 2-0 (7.64%). The likeliest Boca Juniors win was 0-1 (9.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.61%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
| Result | ||
| Independiente del Valle | Draw | Boca Juniors |
42.46% ( -0.22) | 26.53% ( 0.06) | 31% ( 0.16) |
| Both teams to score 51.24% ( -0.12) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.56% ( -0.18) | 53.44% ( 0.18) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.04% ( -0.15) | 74.96% ( 0.15) |
| Independiente del Valle Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.09% ( -0.19) | 24.91% ( 0.19) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.46% ( -0.26) | 59.53% ( 0.27) |
| Boca Juniors Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.24% ( 0.02) | 31.75% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.82% ( 0.03) | 68.18% ( -0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Independiente del Valle | Draw | Boca Juniors |
| 1-0 @ 10.99% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 8.76% ( -0.03)2-0 @ 7.64% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 4.06% ( -0.04)3-0 @ 3.54% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 2.33% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 1.41% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 1.23% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.5% Total : 42.46% | 1-1 @ 12.61% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 7.91% ( 0.05)2-2 @ 5.03% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.99% Total : 26.53% | 0-1 @ 9.07% ( 0.07) 1-2 @ 7.23% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 5.21% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 2.77% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 1.99% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 1.92% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.81% Total : 31% |
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