SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 23 | Rosario Central | 12 | -6 | 10 |
| 24 | Atletico Tucuman | 12 | -9 | 10 |
| 25 | Platense | 13 | -10 | 10 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 14 | Union | 13 | -1 | 17 |
| 15 | Colon | 13 | 0 | 16 |
| 16 | Godoy Cruz | 12 | -1 | 15 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Tucuman win with a probability of 44.6%. A draw had a probability of 27.8% and a win for Colon had a probability of 27.6%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Tucuman win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.77%) and 2-1 (8.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.95%), while for a Colon win it was 0-1 (9.77%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Atletico Tucuman | Draw | Colon |
44.6% ( 0.19) | 27.79% ( 0.02) | 27.6% ( -0.21) |
| Both teams to score 45.85% ( -0.19) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 40.51% ( -0.18) | 59.48% ( 0.18) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.15% ( -0.14) | 79.84% ( 0.14) |
| Atletico Tucuman Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.43% ( 0.02) | 26.57% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.21% ( 0.02) | 61.78% ( -0.02) |
| Colon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.43% ( -0.28) | 37.56% ( 0.28) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.65% ( -0.27) | 74.34% ( 0.27) |
| Score Analysis |
| Atletico Tucuman | Draw | Colon |
| 1-0 @ 13.22% ( 0.09) 2-0 @ 8.77% ( 0.07)2-1 @ 8.58% ( 0)3-0 @ 3.87% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 3.79% ( 0)3-2 @ 1.86% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.28% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.26% ( 0)Other @ 1.96% Total : 44.59% | 1-1 @ 12.95% 0-0 @ 9.98% ( 0.07)2-2 @ 4.2% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.66% Total : 27.79% | 0-1 @ 9.77% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 6.34% ( -0.05)0-2 @ 4.78% ( -0.04)1-3 @ 2.07% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 1.56% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 1.37% ( -0.02)Other @ 1.71% Total : 27.6% |
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