SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 14 | Union | 13 | -1 | 17 |
| 15 | Colon | 13 | 0 | 16 |
| 16 | Godoy Cruz | 12 | -1 | 15 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 26 | Patronato | 12 | -13 | 10 |
| 27 | Talleres | 13 | -13 | 8 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Colon win with a probability of 45.73%. A win for Talleres had a probability of 27.23% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Colon win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.86%) and 2-0 (8.79%). The likeliest Talleres win was 0-1 (9.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.73%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Colon | Draw | Talleres |
45.73% ( 0.06) | 27.04% ( 0.01) | 27.23% ( -0.07) |
| Both teams to score 47.69% ( -0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.99% ( -0.06) | 57.01% ( 0.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.1% ( -0.05) | 77.9% ( 0.05) |
| Colon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.12% ( 0) | 24.88% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.51% ( 0) | 59.49% ( -0.01) |
| Talleres Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.48% ( -0.09) | 36.52% ( 0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.7% ( -0.09) | 73.3% ( 0.08) |
| Score Analysis |
| Colon | Draw | Talleres |
| 1-0 @ 12.63% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 8.86% 2-0 @ 8.79% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 4.11% ( 0)3-0 @ 4.08% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.07% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.43% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.42% ( 0)Other @ 2.35% Total : 45.72% | 1-1 @ 12.73% 0-0 @ 9.08% ( 0.02)2-2 @ 4.46% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.76% Total : 27.03% | 0-1 @ 9.15% ( -0) 1-2 @ 6.41% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 4.61% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 2.15% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.55% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.5% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.86% Total : 27.23% |
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