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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Defensa y Justicia win with a probability of 48.99%. A draw had a probability of 26.3% and a win for Atletico Tucuman had a probability of 24.68%.
The most likely scoreline for a Defensa y Justicia win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.5%) and 2-1 (9.14%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.41%), while for an Atletico Tucuman win it was 0-1 (8.43%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Defensa y Justicia would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Defensa y Justicia | Draw | Atletico Tucuman |
48.99% ( 0.51) | 26.33% ( 0.24) | 24.68% ( -0.74) |
| Both teams to score 47.64% ( -1.35) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.95% ( -1.43) | 56.04% ( 1.43) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.87% ( -1.17) | 77.12% ( 1.17) |
| Defensa y Justicia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.07% ( -0.37) | 22.93% ( 0.38) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.3% ( -0.56) | 56.7% ( 0.56) |
| Atletico Tucuman Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.82% ( -1.45) | 38.18% ( 1.45) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.05% ( -1.42) | 74.94% ( 1.42) |
| Score Analysis |
| Defensa y Justicia | Draw | Atletico Tucuman |
| 1-0 @ 12.89% ( 0.56) 2-0 @ 9.5% ( 0.31)2-1 @ 9.14% ( -0.06)3-0 @ 4.66% ( 0.1)3-1 @ 4.49% ( -0.08)3-2 @ 2.16% ( -0.13)4-0 @ 1.72% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 1.65% ( -0.05)Other @ 2.78% Total : 48.98% | 1-1 @ 12.41% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 8.75% ( 0.47)2-2 @ 4.4% ( -0.21)Other @ 0.76% Total : 26.32% | 0-1 @ 8.43% ( 0.13) 1-2 @ 5.98% ( -0.21)0-2 @ 4.06% ( -0.1)1-3 @ 1.92% ( -0.15)2-3 @ 1.41% ( -0.13)0-3 @ 1.3% ( -0.09)Other @ 1.59% Total : 24.68% |
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