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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Defensa y Justicia win with a probability of 38.36%. A win for Racing Club had a probability of 34.9% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Defensa y Justicia win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.3%) and 2-0 (6.74%). The likeliest Racing Club win was 0-1 (9.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.71%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Defensa y Justicia | Draw | Racing Club |
38.36% ( 0.87) | 26.74% ( 0.5) | 34.9% ( -1.36) |
| Both teams to score 51.64% ( -1.74) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.59% ( -2.15) | 53.41% ( 2.16) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.06% ( -1.85) | 74.94% ( 1.85) |
| Defensa y Justicia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.9% ( -0.52) | 27.1% ( 0.52) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.52% ( -0.68) | 62.48% ( 0.68) |
| Racing Club Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.84% ( -1.87) | 29.16% ( 1.87) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.91% ( -2.36) | 65.09% ( 2.36) |
| Score Analysis |
| Defensa y Justicia | Draw | Racing Club |
| 1-0 @ 10.31% ( 0.7) 2-1 @ 8.3% ( 0.03)2-0 @ 6.74% ( 0.37)3-1 @ 3.61% ( -0.04)3-0 @ 2.93% ( 0.12)3-2 @ 2.23% ( -0.15)4-1 @ 1.18% ( -0.03)4-0 @ 0.96% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.1% Total : 38.35% | 1-1 @ 12.71% ( 0.23) 0-0 @ 7.9% ( 0.65)2-2 @ 5.12% ( -0.25)3-3 @ 0.92% ( -0.11)Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.74% | 0-1 @ 9.74% ( 0.32) 1-2 @ 7.84% ( -0.27)0-2 @ 6% ( -0.12)1-3 @ 3.22% ( -0.29)0-3 @ 2.47% ( -0.18)2-3 @ 2.1% ( -0.22)1-4 @ 0.99% ( -0.15)Other @ 2.54% Total : 34.9% |
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