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Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 24
Jul 9, 2023 at 10pm UK
Estadio Jose Amalfitani

Velez Sarsfield
1 - 1
Godoy Cruz

Gianetti (56')
Osorio (19'), Castro (90+4')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Galdames (74')
Cingolani (32'), Arce (41'), Abrego (75'), Galdames (76'), Meli (90+2'), Rasmussen (90')
Salvareschi (75')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Lanus 0-1 Velez Sarsfield
Wednesday, July 5 at 12am in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Godoy Cruz 2-1 Platense
Wednesday, July 5 at 7.30pm in Argentine Primera Division

We said: Velez Sarsfield 1-1 Godoy Cruz

While the visitors are unbeaten in their last four matches, the three wins they managed in that time all came on their home patch, and the one away game they played ended in a draw. They have been the better side this season to date, but the hosts' confidence is at an all-time high, which we feel levels the playing field and could result in them cancelling each other out. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Velez Sarsfield win with a probability of 45.62%. A draw had a probability of 28.6% and a win for Godoy Cruz had a probability of 25.73%.

The most likely scoreline for a Velez Sarsfield win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.4%) and 2-1 (8.32%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.99%), while for a Godoy Cruz win it was 0-1 (10.14%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
Velez SarsfieldDrawGodoy Cruz
45.62% (0.121 0.12) 28.64% (-0.074000000000002 -0.07) 25.73% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
Both teams to score 42.41% (0.142 0.14)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
36.81% (0.197 0.2)63.19% (-0.199 -0.2)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
17.39% (0.144 0.14)82.6% (-0.145 -0.14)
Velez Sarsfield Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.21% (0.158 0.16)27.79% (-0.16 -0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.63% (0.204 0.2)63.37% (-0.206 -0.21)
Godoy Cruz Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.73% (0.067 0.07)41.26% (-0.069000000000003 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.21% (0.059999999999999 0.06)77.79% (-0.061999999999998 -0.06)
Score Analysis
    Velez Sarsfield 45.62%
    Godoy Cruz 25.72%
    Draw 28.63%
Velez SarsfieldDrawGodoy Cruz
1-0 @ 14.68% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
2-0 @ 9.4% (0.014999999999999 0.01)
2-1 @ 8.32% (0.027999999999999 0.03)
3-0 @ 4.01% (0.024 0.02)
3-1 @ 3.55% (0.029 0.03)
3-2 @ 1.57% (0.015 0.02)
4-0 @ 1.29% (0.014 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.14% (0.014 0.01)
Other @ 1.65%
Total : 45.62%
1-1 @ 12.99% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-0 @ 11.46% (-0.09 -0.09)
2-2 @ 3.68% (0.019 0.02)
Other @ 0.5%
Total : 28.63%
0-1 @ 10.14% (-0.059999999999999 -0.06)
1-2 @ 5.75% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-2 @ 4.49% (-0.016 -0.02)
1-3 @ 1.7% (0.004 0)
0-3 @ 1.33% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-3 @ 1.09% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 1.23%
Total : 25.72%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Lanus 0-1 Velez Sarsfield
Wednesday, July 5 at 12am in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Velez Sarsfield 1-0 Arsenal
Saturday, July 1 at 1.30am in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Tigre 2-1 Velez Sarsfield
Thursday, June 22 at 9pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Racing 2-1 Velez Sarsfield
Saturday, June 17 at 10pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Velez Sarsfield 0-1 Argentinos Jrs
Tuesday, June 13 at 1.45am in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Belgrano 2-0 Velez Sarsfield
Saturday, June 3 at 6pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Godoy Cruz 2-1 Platense
Wednesday, July 5 at 7.30pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Talleres 1-1 Godoy Cruz
Sunday, July 2 at 1.30am in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Godoy Cruz 4-0 Boca Juniors
Friday, June 23 at 1.45am in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Tucuman 2-1 Godoy Cruz
Wednesday, June 14 at 12.30am in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Godoy Cruz 2-1 Independiente
Sunday, June 4 at 9pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Newell's OB 2-0 Godoy Cruz
Monday, May 29 at 1.30am in Argentine Primera Division


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