SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Huracan win with a probability of 54.81%. A draw had a probability of 25.4% and a win for Arsenal Sarandi had a probability of 19.78%.
The most likely scoreline for a Huracan win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.21%) and 2-1 (9.26%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.83%), while for an Arsenal Sarandi win it was 0-1 (7.56%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Huracan would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Huracan | Draw | Arsenal Sarandi |
54.81% ( 0.08) | 25.41% ( -0.01) | 19.78% ( -0.06) |
| Both teams to score 44.46% ( -0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.78% ( -0.02) | 57.22% ( 0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.93% ( -0.02) | 78.07% ( 0.02) |
| Huracan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.08% ( 0.03) | 20.92% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.36% ( 0.04) | 53.65% ( -0.03) |
| Arsenal Sarandi Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 56.22% ( -0.09) | 43.79% ( 0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 20.06% ( -0.07) | 79.95% ( 0.08) |
| Score Analysis |
| Huracan | Draw | Arsenal Sarandi |
| 1-0 @ 14.32% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 11.21% ( 0.03)2-1 @ 9.26% ( -0)3-0 @ 5.85% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 4.83% ( 0)4-0 @ 2.29% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 1.99% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.89% ( 0)Other @ 3.17% Total : 54.8% | 1-1 @ 11.83% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 9.16% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 3.82% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.6% Total : 25.41% | 0-1 @ 7.56% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 4.89% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 3.12% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 1.35% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.05% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.8% Total : 19.78% |
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