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Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 13
Apr 22, 2023 at 7.30pm UK
Estadio Julio Humberto Grondona

Arsenal
2 - 1
Union

Toloza (53'), Londono (90+5')
Toloza (83'), Londono (90+3')
Londono (90+6')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Coverage of the Argentine Primera Division clash between Arsenal Sarandi and Union.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Sarmiento 1-0 Arsenal
Monday, April 17 at 11pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Union 0-0 Tigre
Sunday, April 16 at 6pm in Argentine Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal Sarandi win with a probability of 35.77%. A win for Union had a probability of 35.47% and a draw had a probability of 28.8%.

The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal Sarandi win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.52%) and 2-0 (6.71%). The likeliest Union win was 0-1 (11.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.34%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Arsenal Sarandi would win this match.

Result
Arsenal SarandiDrawUnion
35.77% (0.0010000000000048 0) 28.76% (0.0020000000000024 0) 35.47%
Both teams to score 45.56% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
39.01%60.99% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.02%80.99% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Arsenal Sarandi Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.6% (0.0019999999999953 0)32.4% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.08%68.92% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Union Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.41% (0.00099999999999056 0)32.6% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.87%69.13% (0.0019999999999953 0)
Score Analysis
    Arsenal Sarandi 35.77%
    Union 35.47%
    Draw 28.76%
Arsenal SarandiDrawUnion
1-0 @ 11.9%
2-1 @ 7.52%
2-0 @ 6.71%
3-1 @ 2.82%
3-0 @ 2.52%
3-2 @ 1.58%
Other @ 2.72%
Total : 35.77%
1-1 @ 13.34%
0-0 @ 10.56%
2-2 @ 4.21%
Other @ 0.64%
Total : 28.76%
0-1 @ 11.84%
1-2 @ 7.48%
0-2 @ 6.64%
1-3 @ 2.8%
0-3 @ 2.48%
2-3 @ 1.58%
Other @ 2.67%
Total : 35.47%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Sarmiento 1-0 Arsenal
Monday, April 17 at 11pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Arsenal 2-3 Godoy Cruz
Thursday, April 13 at 6pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Lanus 3-0 Arsenal
Friday, April 7 at 11pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: C. Cordoba 1-0 Arsenal
Tuesday, April 4 at 1.30am in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Arsenal 2-0 Tigre
Saturday, March 18 at 7.30pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Argentinos Jrs 1-1 Arsenal
Saturday, March 11 at 12am in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Union 0-0 Tigre
Sunday, April 16 at 6pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Argentinos Jrs 5-1 Union
Tuesday, April 11 at 11pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Union 0-3 Belgrano
Saturday, April 8 at 10pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: River Plate 1-0 Union
Saturday, April 1 at 1.30am in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Union 1-3 Racing
Saturday, March 18 at 12am in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Rosario 1-1 Union
Monday, March 13 at 12.30am in Argentine Primera Division


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