SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 18 | Lanus | 13 | -1 | 14 |
| 19 | Arsenal Sarandi | 12 | 0 | 13 |
| 20 | Independiente | 13 | -4 | 13 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 11 | Banfield | 13 | 3 | 18 |
| 12 | Huracan | 13 | 1 | 18 |
| 13 | Sarmiento | 12 | -7 | 18 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Huracan win with a probability of 41.32%. A draw had a probability of 29.7% and a win for Arsenal Sarandi had a probability of 29.02%.
The most likely scoreline for a Huracan win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.38%) and 1-2 (7.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.32%), while for an Arsenal Sarandi win it was 1-0 (11.38%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Arsenal Sarandi | Draw | Huracan |
29.02% ( 0.61) | 29.66% ( 0.05) | 41.32% ( -0.65) |
| Both teams to score 41.77% ( 0.16) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 35.06% ( 0.06) | 64.94% ( -0.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 16.15% ( 0.04) | 83.85% ( -0.04) |
| Arsenal Sarandi Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.56% ( 0.53) | 39.44% ( -0.53) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.86% ( 0.49) | 76.14% ( -0.49) |
| Huracan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.98% ( -0.34) | 31.02% ( 0.34) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.67% ( -0.4) | 67.33% ( 0.41) |
| Score Analysis |
| Arsenal Sarandi | Draw | Huracan |
| 1-0 @ 11.38% ( 0.14) 2-1 @ 6.2% ( 0.11)2-0 @ 5.29% ( 0.14)3-1 @ 1.92% ( 0.06)3-0 @ 1.64% ( 0.07)3-2 @ 1.13% ( 0.02)Other @ 1.46% Total : 29.02% | 1-1 @ 13.32% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 12.23% ( -0.03)2-2 @ 3.63% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.47% Total : 29.65% | 0-1 @ 14.32% ( -0.17) 0-2 @ 8.38% ( -0.18)1-2 @ 7.8% ( -0.05)0-3 @ 3.27% ( -0.1)1-3 @ 3.04% ( -0.05)2-3 @ 1.42% ( -0)0-4 @ 0.96% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.13% Total : 41.32% |
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