SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lanus win with a probability of 47.94%. A draw had a probability of 27.6% and a win for Arsenal Sarandi had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lanus win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.79%) and 2-1 (8.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.73%), while for an Arsenal Sarandi win it was 0-1 (9.32%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lanus would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Lanus | Draw | Arsenal Sarandi |
47.94% ( 0.02) | 27.65% ( -0) | 24.4% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 43.87% ( -0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 39.21% ( 0) | 60.78% ( -0) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.16% ( 0) | 80.83% ( -0) |
| Lanus Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.5% ( 0.01) | 25.49% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.66% ( 0.01) | 60.34% ( -0.02) |
| Arsenal Sarandi Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.89% ( -0.02) | 41.11% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.35% ( -0.01) | 77.65% ( 0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Lanus | Draw | Arsenal Sarandi |
| 1-0 @ 14.32% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 9.79% ( 0.01)2-1 @ 8.7% ( 0)3-0 @ 4.46% ( 0)3-1 @ 3.96% ( 0)3-2 @ 1.76% 4-0 @ 1.52% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.35% ( 0)Other @ 2.07% Total : 47.94% | 1-1 @ 12.73% 0-0 @ 10.48% 2-2 @ 3.87% ( -0)Other @ 0.56% Total : 27.64% | 0-1 @ 9.32% ( -0) 1-2 @ 5.66% ( -0)0-2 @ 4.14% ( -0)1-3 @ 1.68% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.23% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.15% ( -0)Other @ 1.24% Total : 24.4% |
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