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Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 12
Apr 17, 2023 at 11pm UK
 

Sarmiento
1 - 0
Arsenal

Bettini (13')
Toledo (90+1')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Centurion (53'), Londono (83'), Medina (90+1'), Souto (90+7')
Coverage of the Argentine Primera Division clash between Sarmiento and Arsenal Sarandi.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Tigre 1-0 Sarmiento
Friday, April 14 at 1.30am in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Arsenal 2-3 Godoy Cruz
Thursday, April 13 at 6pm in Argentine Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sarmiento win with a probability of 42.95%. A win for Arsenal Sarandi had a probability of 29.64% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sarmiento win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.6%) and 2-0 (8.14%). The likeliest Arsenal Sarandi win was 0-1 (9.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.91%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Sarmiento in this match.

Result
SarmientoDrawArsenal Sarandi
42.95% (-1.527 -1.53) 27.41% (0.938 0.94) 29.64% (0.591 0.59)
Both teams to score 48.03% (-2.44 -2.44)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.74% (-3.276 -3.28)57.26% (3.278 3.28)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.89% (-2.678 -2.68)78.1% (2.679 2.68)
Sarmiento Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.6% (-2.248 -2.25)26.4% (2.249 2.25)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.44% (-3.091 -3.09)61.56% (3.093 3.09)
Arsenal Sarandi Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.25% (-1.282 -1.28)34.74% (1.285 1.29)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.53% (-1.376 -1.38)71.47% (1.378 1.38)
Score Analysis
    Sarmiento 42.94%
    Arsenal Sarandi 29.64%
    Draw 27.41%
SarmientoDrawArsenal Sarandi
1-0 @ 12.21% (0.73 0.73)
2-1 @ 8.6% (-0.331 -0.33)
2-0 @ 8.14% (-0.022 -0.02)
3-1 @ 3.82% (-0.412 -0.41)
3-0 @ 3.61% (-0.252 -0.25)
3-2 @ 2.02% (-0.297 -0.3)
4-1 @ 1.27% (-0.231 -0.23)
4-0 @ 1.2% (-0.17 -0.17)
Other @ 2.08%
Total : 42.94%
1-1 @ 12.91% (0.34 0.34)
0-0 @ 9.17% (1.092 1.09)
2-2 @ 4.55% (-0.343 -0.34)
Other @ 0.78%
Total : 27.41%
0-1 @ 9.7% (0.849 0.85)
1-2 @ 6.83% (-0.055000000000001 -0.06)
0-2 @ 5.13% (0.283 0.28)
1-3 @ 2.41% (-0.106 -0.11)
0-3 @ 1.81% (0.038 0.04)
2-3 @ 1.6% (-0.182 -0.18)
Other @ 2.18%
Total : 29.64%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Tigre 1-0 Sarmiento
Friday, April 14 at 1.30am in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Sarmiento 2-0 Argentinos Jrs
Saturday, April 8 at 7.30pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Belgrano 0-0 Sarmiento
Tuesday, April 4 at 12am in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Sarmiento 0-2 River Plate
Monday, March 20 at 12.30am in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Racing 1-0 Sarmiento
Sunday, March 12 at 8pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Sarmiento 4-1 Rosario
Friday, March 3 at 11pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Arsenal 2-3 Godoy Cruz
Thursday, April 13 at 6pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Lanus 3-0 Arsenal
Friday, April 7 at 11pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: C. Cordoba 1-0 Arsenal
Tuesday, April 4 at 1.30am in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Arsenal 2-0 Tigre
Saturday, March 18 at 7.30pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Argentinos Jrs 1-1 Arsenal
Saturday, March 11 at 12am in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Arsenal 0-1 Belgrano
Monday, March 6 at 8pm in Argentine Primera Division


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