SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a River Plate win with a probability of 41.51%. A win for Huracan had a probability of 31.8% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a River Plate win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.65%) and 0-2 (7.46%). The likeliest Huracan win was 1-0 (9.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.68%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that River Plate would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Huracan | Draw | River Plate |
31.8% ( -0.74) | 26.69% ( -0.21) | 41.51% ( 0.96) |
| Both teams to score 51.07% ( 0.43) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.19% ( 0.66) | 53.81% ( -0.65) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.72% ( 0.55) | 75.28% ( -0.55) |
| Huracan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.61% ( -0.17) | 31.39% ( 0.17) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 32.24% ( -0.2) | 67.76% ( 0.2) |
| River Plate Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.43% ( 0.81) | 25.57% ( -0.81) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 39.56% ( 1.09) | 60.44% ( -1.09) |
| Score Analysis |
| Huracan | Draw | River Plate |
| 1-0 @ 9.3% ( -0.29) 2-1 @ 7.35% ( -0.09)2-0 @ 5.39% ( -0.19)3-1 @ 2.84% ( -0.05)3-0 @ 2.08% ( -0.09)3-2 @ 1.94% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.91% Total : 31.8% | 1-1 @ 12.68% ( -0.09) 0-0 @ 8.03% ( -0.21)2-2 @ 5.01% ( 0.05)Other @ 0.97% Total : 26.69% | 0-1 @ 10.94% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 8.65% ( 0.14)0-2 @ 7.46% ( 0.15)1-3 @ 3.93% ( 0.15)0-3 @ 3.39% ( 0.14)2-3 @ 2.28% ( 0.08)1-4 @ 1.34% ( 0.08)0-4 @ 1.16% ( 0.08)Other @ 2.36% Total : 41.51% |
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