Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newell's Old Boys win with a probability of 51.84%. A draw had a probability of 27.8% and a win for Arsenal Sarandi had a probability of 20.33%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newell's Old Boys win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.32%) and 2-1 (8.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.3%), while for an Arsenal Sarandi win it was 0-1 (8.95%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Newell's Old Boys would win this match.
Result | ||
Newell's Old Boys | Draw | Arsenal Sarandi |
51.84% ( -0) | 27.83% ( -0) | 20.33% ( 0) |
Both teams to score 39.29% ( 0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
35.6% ( 0.01) | 64.39% ( -0) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
16.53% ( 0.01) | 83.46% ( -0) |
Newell's Old Boys Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.7% ( 0) | 25.29% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.93% ( 0) | 60.06% ( -0) |
Arsenal Sarandi Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
52.59% ( 0.01) | 47.4% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
17.21% ( 0) | 82.79% ( -0.01) |
Score Analysis |
Newell's Old Boys | Draw | Arsenal Sarandi |
1-0 @ 16.48% 2-0 @ 11.32% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 8.46% 3-0 @ 5.19% 3-1 @ 3.88% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.78% 3-2 @ 1.45% 4-1 @ 1.33% ( 0) Other @ 1.95% Total : 51.83% | 1-1 @ 12.3% 0-0 @ 11.99% 2-2 @ 3.16% ( 0) Other @ 0.38% Total : 27.83% | 0-1 @ 8.95% 1-2 @ 4.59% ( 0) 0-2 @ 3.34% ( 0) 1-3 @ 1.14% ( 0) Other @ 2.3% Total : 20.33% |
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