SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lanus win with a probability of 44.18%. A draw had a probability of 29% and a win for Newell's Old Boys had a probability of 26.86%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lanus win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.05%) and 2-1 (8.17%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.12%), while for a Newell's Old Boys win it was 0-1 (10.52%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Lanus in this match.
| Result | ||
| Lanus | Draw | Newell's Old Boys |
44.18% ( -0.63) | 28.96% ( 0.4) | 26.86% ( 0.24) |
| Both teams to score 42.38% ( -0.84) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 36.37% ( -1.13) | 63.63% ( 1.13) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 17.08% ( -0.82) | 82.92% ( 0.82) |
| Lanus Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.24% ( -0.89) | 28.76% ( 0.89) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.4% ( -1.12) | 64.6% ( 1.12) |
| Newell's Old Boys Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.48% ( -0.43) | 40.52% ( 0.44) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.88% ( -0.4) | 77.12% ( 0.4) |
| Score Analysis |
| Lanus | Draw | Newell's Old Boys |
| 1-0 @ 14.52% ( 0.25) 2-0 @ 9.05% ( -0.07)2-1 @ 8.17% ( -0.16)3-0 @ 3.76% ( -0.12)3-1 @ 3.4% ( -0.15)3-2 @ 1.53% ( -0.09)4-0 @ 1.17% ( -0.07)4-1 @ 1.06% ( -0.08)Other @ 1.52% Total : 44.18% | 1-1 @ 13.12% ( 0.08) 0-0 @ 11.65% ( 0.48)2-2 @ 3.69% ( -0.12)Other @ 0.5% Total : 28.96% | 0-1 @ 10.52% ( 0.31) 1-2 @ 5.93% ( -0.04)0-2 @ 4.76% ( 0.09)1-3 @ 1.79% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 1.43% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.11% ( -0.05)Other @ 1.32% Total : 26.85% |
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