SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 11 | Banfield | 13 | 3 | 18 |
| 12 | Huracan | 13 | 1 | 18 |
| 13 | Sarmiento | 12 | -7 | 18 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 22 | Central Cordoba | 12 | -8 | 11 |
| 23 | Rosario Central | 12 | -6 | 10 |
| 24 | Atletico Tucuman | 12 | -9 | 10 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Huracan win with a probability of 42.24%. A win for Rosario Central had a probability of 30.65% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Huracan win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.62%) and 2-0 (7.82%). The likeliest Rosario Central win was 0-1 (9.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.83%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Huracan would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Huracan | Draw | Rosario Central |
42.24% ( 0.02) | 27.1% ( -0.14) | 30.65% ( 0.12) |
| Both teams to score 49.37% ( 0.45) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.23% ( 0.55) | 55.76% ( -0.55) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.1% ( 0.45) | 76.9% ( -0.45) |
| Huracan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.91% ( 0.26) | 26.08% ( -0.26) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.86% ( 0.35) | 61.14% ( -0.35) |
| Rosario Central Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.79% ( 0.37) | 33.2% ( -0.37) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.18% ( 0.41) | 69.81% ( -0.41) |
| Score Analysis |
| Huracan | Draw | Rosario Central |
| 1-0 @ 11.63% ( -0.17) 2-1 @ 8.62% ( 0.03)2-0 @ 7.82% ( -0.05)3-1 @ 3.86% ( 0.04)3-0 @ 3.5% ( 0)3-2 @ 2.13% ( 0.04)4-1 @ 1.3% ( 0.03)4-0 @ 1.18% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.19% Total : 42.23% | 1-1 @ 12.83% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 8.66% ( -0.19)2-2 @ 4.75% ( 0.07)Other @ 0.86% Total : 27.1% | 0-1 @ 9.55% ( -0.11) 1-2 @ 7.07% ( 0.05)0-2 @ 5.26% ( -0)1-3 @ 2.6% ( 0.04)0-3 @ 1.93% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 1.75% ( 0.04)Other @ 2.49% Total : 30.65% |
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