Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Independiente win with a probability of 49.58%. A draw had a probability of 26% and a win for Huracan had a probability of 24.39%.
The most likely scoreline for a Independiente win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.53%) and 2-1 (9.23%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.3%), while for a Huracan win it was 0-1 (8.2%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Independiente would win this match.
