Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Huracan win with a probability of 44.8%. A win for Colon had a probability of 27.94% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Huracan win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.75%) and 2-0 (8.61%). The likeliest Colon win was 0-1 (9.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.82%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood.
