Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tigre win with a probability of 44.48%. A draw had a probability of 27.9% and a win for Huracan had a probability of 27.65%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tigre win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.76%) and 2-1 (8.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.97%), while for a Huracan win it was 0-1 (9.83%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Tigre would win this match.
