Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tigre win with a probability of 45.57%. A win for Rosario Central had a probability of 27.24% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tigre win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.81%) and 2-1 (8.8%). The likeliest Rosario Central win was 0-1 (9.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.78%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Tigre would win this match.
