Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rosario Central win with a probability of 40.48%. A win for Independiente had a probability of 33.79% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rosario Central win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.69%) and 2-0 (6.8%). The likeliest Independiente win was 0-1 (8.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.2%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Rosario Central would win this match.
