SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a San Lorenzo win with a probability of 44.09%. A draw had a probability of 29.3% and a win for Union had a probability of 26.58%.
The most likely scoreline for a San Lorenzo win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.13%) and 2-1 (8.04%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.13%), while for a Union win it was 0-1 (10.73%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for San Lorenzo in this match.
| Result | ||
| San Lorenzo | Draw | Union |
44.09% ( 0.04) | 29.33% ( -0.03) | 26.58% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 41.31% ( 0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 35.14% ( 0.06) | 64.86% ( -0.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 16.2% ( 0.04) | 83.79% ( -0.04) |
| San Lorenzo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.58% ( 0.05) | 29.42% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.58% ( 0.06) | 65.41% ( -0.07) |
| Union Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.53% ( 0.02) | 41.47% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.03% ( 0.01) | 77.97% ( -0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| San Lorenzo | Draw | Union |
| 1-0 @ 14.92% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 9.13% ( 0.01)2-1 @ 8.04% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 3.72% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 3.28% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 1.44% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.14% ( 0)4-1 @ 1% ( 0)Other @ 1.41% Total : 44.08% | 1-1 @ 13.13% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 12.19% ( -0.03)2-2 @ 3.54% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.45% Total : 29.31% | 0-1 @ 10.73% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 5.78% ( 0)0-2 @ 4.73% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 1.7% ( 0)0-3 @ 1.39% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.04% ( 0)Other @ 1.21% Total : 26.57% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
