SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a San Lorenzo win with a probability of 61.93%. A draw had a probability of 22.8% and a win for Aldosivi had a probability of 15.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a San Lorenzo win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.64%) and 2-1 (9.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.64%), while for an Aldosivi win it was 0-1 (6%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that San Lorenzo would win this match.
| Result | ||
| San Lorenzo | Draw | Aldosivi |
61.93% ( 0.96) | 22.77% ( -0.12) | 15.3% ( -0.84) |
| Both teams to score 43.73% ( -1.42) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.21% ( -0.93) | 53.79% ( 0.93) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.74% ( -0.79) | 75.26% ( 0.79) |
| San Lorenzo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.06% ( 0.01) | 16.94% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.98% ( 0.01) | 47.02% ( -0.01) |
| Aldosivi Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 52.65% ( -1.71) | 47.35% ( 1.71) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 17.25% ( -1.31) | 82.75% ( 1.31) |
| Score Analysis |
| San Lorenzo | Draw | Aldosivi |
| 1-0 @ 14.24% ( 0.52) 2-0 @ 12.64% ( 0.46)2-1 @ 9.45% ( -0.11)3-0 @ 7.48% ( 0.27)3-1 @ 5.59% ( -0.06)4-0 @ 3.32% ( 0.12)4-1 @ 2.48% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 2.09% ( -0.13)5-0 @ 1.18% ( 0.04)4-2 @ 0.93% ( -0.06)Other @ 2.52% Total : 61.93% | 1-1 @ 10.64% ( -0.12) 0-0 @ 8.02% ( 0.29)2-2 @ 3.53% ( -0.22)Other @ 0.57% Total : 22.76% | 0-1 @ 6% ( -0.07) 1-2 @ 3.98% ( -0.24)0-2 @ 2.24% ( -0.14)1-3 @ 0.99% ( -0.11)Other @ 2.09% Total : 15.3% |
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