SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sarmiento win with a probability of 40.5%. A win for Banfield had a probability of 30.51% and a draw had a probability of 29%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sarmiento win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.98%) and 2-1 (7.96%). The likeliest Banfield win was 0-1 (11.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.3%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Sarmiento | Draw | Banfield |
40.5% ( 0.51) | 29% ( -0.15) | 30.51% ( -0.35) |
| Both teams to score 44.02% ( 0.28) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 37.54% ( 0.41) | 62.46% ( -0.41) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 17.93% ( 0.3) | 82.07% ( -0.3) |
| Sarmiento Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.76% ( 0.5) | 30.24% ( -0.5) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.59% ( 0.6) | 66.41% ( -0.59) |
| Banfield Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.11% ( -0.05) | 36.89% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.32% ( -0.05) | 73.68% ( 0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| Sarmiento | Draw | Banfield |
| 1-0 @ 13.34% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 7.98% ( 0.1)2-1 @ 7.96% ( 0.09)3-0 @ 3.18% ( 0.08)3-1 @ 3.17% ( 0.08)3-2 @ 1.58% ( 0.04)4-0 @ 0.95% ( 0.04)4-1 @ 0.95% ( 0.04)Other @ 1.39% Total : 40.5% | 1-1 @ 13.3% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 11.15% ( -0.17)2-2 @ 3.97% ( 0.04)Other @ 0.57% Total : 28.98% | 0-1 @ 11.12% ( -0.19) 1-2 @ 6.63% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 5.55% ( -0.1)1-3 @ 2.21% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.84% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 1.32% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.83% Total : 30.5% |
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