SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lanus win with a probability of 54%. A draw had a probability of 27.7% and a win for Banfield had a probability of 18.35%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lanus win was 1-0 with a probability of 17.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.15%) and 2-1 (8.31%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (12.54%), while for a Banfield win it was 0-1 (8.58%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Lanus | Draw | Banfield |
54% ( 0.29) | 27.65% ( 0.29) | 18.35% ( -0.58) |
| Both teams to score 37.22% ( -1.38) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 34.38% ( -1.35) | 65.61% ( 1.35) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 15.68% ( -0.94) | 84.32% ( 0.94) |
| Lanus Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.14% ( -0.48) | 24.86% ( 0.48) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.54% ( -0.67) | 59.46% ( 0.67) |
| Banfield Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 49.54% ( -1.52) | 50.46% ( 1.52) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 15.03% ( -1.06) | 84.97% ( 1.06) |
| Score Analysis |
| Lanus | Draw | Banfield |
| 1-0 @ 17.46% ( 0.62) 2-0 @ 12.15% ( 0.27)2-1 @ 8.31% ( -0.18)3-0 @ 5.64% ( 0.05)3-1 @ 3.86% ( -0.14)4-0 @ 1.96% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.34% ( -0.07)3-2 @ 1.32% ( -0.11)Other @ 1.96% Total : 53.99% | 0-0 @ 12.54% ( 0.61) 1-1 @ 11.94% ( -0.09)2-2 @ 2.84% ( -0.19)Other @ 0.32% Total : 27.64% | 0-1 @ 8.58% ( 0.05) 1-2 @ 4.09% ( -0.22)0-2 @ 2.94% ( -0.11)1-3 @ 0.93% ( -0.09)Other @ 1.82% Total : 18.35% |
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