SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rosario Central win with a probability of 45.53%. A draw had a probability of 29.1% and a win for Velez Sarsfield had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rosario Central win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.51%) and 2-1 (8.16%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.01%), while for a Velez Sarsfield win it was 0-1 (10.37%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Rosario Central | Draw | Velez Sarsfield |
45.53% ( 1.11) | 29.07% ( -0.61) | 25.4% ( -0.5) |
| Both teams to score 41.17% ( 1.1) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 35.37% ( 1.54) | 64.63% ( -1.55) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 16.37% ( 1.07) | 83.63% ( -1.07) |
| Rosario Central Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.47% ( 1.36) | 28.53% ( -1.37) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.69% ( 1.68) | 64.31% ( -1.68) |
| Velez Sarsfield Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.6% ( 0.44) | 42.4% ( -0.44) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 21.22% ( 0.38) | 78.78% ( -0.38) |
| Score Analysis |
| Rosario Central | Draw | Velez Sarsfield |
| 1-0 @ 15.17% ( -0.29) 2-0 @ 9.51% ( 0.18)2-1 @ 8.16% ( 0.25)3-0 @ 3.98% ( 0.22)3-1 @ 3.41% ( 0.23)3-2 @ 1.46% ( 0.11)4-0 @ 1.25% ( 0.11)4-1 @ 1.07% ( 0.11)Other @ 1.51% Total : 45.53% | 1-1 @ 13.01% ( -0.09) 0-0 @ 12.09% ( -0.71)2-2 @ 3.5% ( 0.15)Other @ 0.45% Total : 29.05% | 0-1 @ 10.37% ( -0.48) 1-2 @ 5.59% ( 0.03)0-2 @ 4.45% ( -0.15)1-3 @ 1.6% ( 0.03)0-3 @ 1.27% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 1% ( 0.05)Other @ 1.11% Total : 25.39% |
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