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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Velez Sarsfield win with a probability of 53.99%. A draw had a probability of 26.9% and a win for Arsenal Sarandi had a probability of 19.14%.
The most likely scoreline for a Velez Sarsfield win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.74%) and 2-1 (8.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.02%), while for an Arsenal Sarandi win it was 0-1 (8.3%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Velez Sarsfield would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Velez Sarsfield | Draw | Arsenal Sarandi |
53.99% ( 2.71) | 26.86% ( -0.58) | 19.14% ( -2.13) |
| Both teams to score 40.02% ( -1.25) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 37.41% ( -0.12) | 62.59% ( 0.13) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 17.83% ( -0.09) | 82.16% ( 0.09) |
| Velez Sarsfield Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.49% ( 1.16) | 23.51% ( -1.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.45% ( 1.66) | 57.55% ( -1.66) |
| Arsenal Sarandi Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 52.32% ( -2.46) | 47.68% ( 2.46) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 17% ( -1.89) | 83% ( 1.89) |
| Score Analysis |
| Velez Sarsfield | Draw | Arsenal Sarandi |
| 1-0 @ 16.22% ( 0.61) 2-0 @ 11.74% ( 0.82)2-1 @ 8.7% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 5.67% ( 0.57)3-1 @ 4.2% ( 0.16)4-0 @ 2.05% ( 0.27)3-2 @ 1.56% ( -0.05)4-1 @ 1.52% ( 0.11)Other @ 2.32% Total : 53.98% | 1-1 @ 12.02% ( -0.37) 0-0 @ 11.21% ( 0.06)2-2 @ 3.22% ( -0.22)Other @ 0.41% Total : 26.86% | 0-1 @ 8.3% ( -0.55) 1-2 @ 4.45% ( -0.47)0-2 @ 3.08% ( -0.44)1-3 @ 1.1% ( -0.2)Other @ 2.22% Total : 19.14% |
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