SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lanus win with a probability of 51.94%. A draw had a probability of 27.1% and a win for Velez Sarsfield had a probability of 20.91%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lanus win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.03%) and 2-1 (8.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.3%), while for a Velez Sarsfield win it was 0-1 (8.65%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Lanus | Draw | Velez Sarsfield |
51.94% ( 0.09) | 27.15% ( -0.09) | 20.91% ( 0.02) |
| Both teams to score 41.57% ( 0.25) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 38.17% ( 0.31) | 61.83% ( -0.3) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 18.39% ( 0.23) | 81.61% ( -0.22) |
| Lanus Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.91% ( 0.18) | 24.1% ( -0.17) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.61% ( 0.25) | 58.39% ( -0.24) |
| Velez Sarsfield Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 54.77% ( 0.2) | 45.24% ( -0.19) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 18.88% ( 0.16) | 81.12% ( -0.15) |
| Score Analysis |
| Lanus | Draw | Velez Sarsfield |
| 1-0 @ 15.51% ( -0.1) 2-0 @ 11.03% ( -0.02)2-1 @ 8.76% ( 0.04)3-0 @ 5.24% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 4.15% ( 0.04)4-0 @ 1.86% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 1.65% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 1.48% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.26% Total : 51.93% | 1-1 @ 12.3% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 10.9% ( -0.12)2-2 @ 3.47% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.47% Total : 27.14% | 0-1 @ 8.65% ( -0.05) 1-2 @ 4.88% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 3.43% ( -0)1-3 @ 1.29% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 0.92% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 0.91% ( 0)Other @ 0.84% Total : 20.91% |
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