SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lanus win with a probability of 36.36%. A win for Talleres had a probability of 33.79% and a draw had a probability of 29.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lanus win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.29%) and 2-0 (7.07%). The likeliest Talleres win was 0-1 (12.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.48%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lanus would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Lanus | Draw | Talleres |
36.36% ( 0.58) | 29.84% ( 0.21) | 33.79% ( -0.8) |
| Both teams to score 42.51% ( -0.62) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 35.36% ( -0.72) | 64.63% ( 0.72) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 16.36% ( -0.51) | 83.63% ( 0.51) |
| Lanus Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.08% ( 0) | 33.92% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.41% ( 0) | 70.59% ( -0.01) |
| Talleres Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.33% ( -0.94) | 35.67% ( 0.94) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.56% ( -0.98) | 72.44% ( 0.98) |
| Score Analysis |
| Lanus | Draw | Talleres |
| 1-0 @ 13.08% ( 0.35) 2-1 @ 7.29% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 7.07% ( 0.19)3-1 @ 2.63% ( 0)3-0 @ 2.55% ( 0.07)3-2 @ 1.35% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.4% Total : 36.37% | 1-1 @ 13.48% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 12.09% ( 0.31)2-2 @ 3.76% ( -0.09)Other @ 0.5% Total : 29.83% | 0-1 @ 12.47% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 6.95% ( -0.17)0-2 @ 6.43% ( -0.16)1-3 @ 2.39% ( -0.12)0-3 @ 2.21% ( -0.11)2-3 @ 1.29% ( -0.07)Other @ 2.05% Total : 33.79% |
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