SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Defensa y Justicia win with a probability of 39.27%. A win for Lanus had a probability of 31.15% and a draw had a probability of 29.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Defensa y Justicia win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.79%) and 2-1 (7.67%). The likeliest Lanus win was 0-1 (11.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.4%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
| Result | ||
| Defensa y Justicia | Draw | Lanus |
39.27% ( -0.11) | 29.58% ( -0.01) | 31.15% ( 0.13) |
| Both teams to score 42.71% ( 0.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 35.84% ( 0.07) | 64.16% ( -0.07) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 16.7% ( 0.05) | 83.3% ( -0.05) |
| Defensa y Justicia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.16% ( -0.03) | 31.84% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.72% ( -0.04) | 68.28% ( 0.04) |
| Lanus Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.67% ( 0.14) | 37.33% ( -0.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.88% ( 0.13) | 74.12% ( -0.13) |
| Score Analysis |
| Defensa y Justicia | Draw | Lanus |
| 1-0 @ 13.6% ( -0.05) 2-0 @ 7.79% ( -0.03)2-1 @ 7.67% ( -0)3-0 @ 2.97% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 2.93% ( -0)3-2 @ 1.44% ( 0)Other @ 2.87% Total : 39.27% | 1-1 @ 13.4% 0-0 @ 11.88% ( -0.03)2-2 @ 3.78% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.51% Total : 29.57% | 0-1 @ 11.71% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 6.6% ( 0.03)0-2 @ 5.77% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 2.17% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 1.9% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 1.24% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.76% Total : 31.15% |
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