SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lanus win with a probability of 38.42%. A win for Boca Juniors had a probability of 31.35% and a draw had a probability of 30.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lanus win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.69%) and 2-1 (7.39%). The likeliest Boca Juniors win was 0-1 (12.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.46%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Lanus in this match.
| Result | ||
| Lanus | Draw | Boca Juniors |
38.42% ( -1.31) | 30.23% ( 0.14) | 31.35% ( 1.17) |
| Both teams to score 41.12% ( -0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 33.89% ( -0.19) | 66.11% ( 0.19) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 15.34% ( -0.13) | 84.66% ( 0.13) |
| Lanus Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.61% ( -0.92) | 33.38% ( 0.91) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.99% ( -1.02) | 70.01% ( 1.02) |
| Boca Juniors Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.73% ( 0.8) | 38.27% ( -0.8) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.96% ( 0.76) | 75.03% ( -0.76) |
| Score Analysis |
| Lanus | Draw | Boca Juniors |
| 1-0 @ 14.01% ( -0.26) 2-0 @ 7.69% ( -0.34)2-1 @ 7.39% ( -0.16)3-0 @ 2.81% ( -0.2)3-1 @ 2.7% ( -0.13)3-2 @ 1.3% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.52% Total : 38.41% | 1-1 @ 13.46% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 12.77% ( 0.09)2-2 @ 3.55% ( 0)Other @ 0.44% Total : 30.22% | 0-1 @ 12.27% ( 0.35) 1-2 @ 6.47% ( 0.16)0-2 @ 5.89% ( 0.29)1-3 @ 2.07% ( 0.1)0-3 @ 1.89% ( 0.13)2-3 @ 1.14% ( 0.02)Other @ 1.63% Total : 31.35% |
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