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Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 20
Nov 3, 2024 at 10.30pm UK
Estadio Ciudad de Lanus - Nestor Diaz Perez

Lanus
1 - 0
Boca Juniors

Salvio (79')
Javier Rodriguez (30')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Rojo (39'), Medel (90+3'), Medel (90+4'), Figal (90+4')
Coverage of the Argentine Primera Division clash between Lanus and Boca Juniors.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Lanus 0-1 Cruzeiro
Wednesday, October 30 at 10pm in Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Boca Juniors 1-1 Deportivo Riestra
Sunday, October 27 at 10pm in Argentine Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lanus win with a probability of 38.42%. A win for Boca Juniors had a probability of 31.35% and a draw had a probability of 30.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lanus win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.69%) and 2-1 (7.39%). The likeliest Boca Juniors win was 0-1 (12.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.46%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Lanus in this match.

Result
LanusDrawBoca Juniors
38.42% (-1.313 -1.31) 30.23% (0.142 0.14) 31.35% (1.17 1.17)
Both teams to score 41.12% (-0.025000000000006 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
33.89% (-0.19 -0.19)66.11% (0.191 0.19)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
15.34% (-0.131 -0.13)84.66% (0.131 0.13)
Lanus Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.61% (-0.916 -0.92)33.38% (0.915 0.91)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.99% (-1.015 -1.02)70.01% (1.016 1.02)
Boca Juniors Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.73% (0.801 0.8)38.27% (-0.802 -0.8)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.96% (0.758 0.76)75.03% (-0.759 -0.76)
Score Analysis
    Lanus 38.41%
    Boca Juniors 31.35%
    Draw 30.22%
LanusDrawBoca Juniors
1-0 @ 14.01% (-0.26 -0.26)
2-0 @ 7.69% (-0.338 -0.34)
2-1 @ 7.39% (-0.158 -0.16)
3-0 @ 2.81% (-0.198 -0.2)
3-1 @ 2.7% (-0.127 -0.13)
3-2 @ 1.3% (-0.032 -0.03)
Other @ 2.52%
Total : 38.41%
1-1 @ 13.46% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
0-0 @ 12.77% (0.09 0.09)
2-2 @ 3.55% (0.0019999999999998 0)
Other @ 0.44%
Total : 30.22%
0-1 @ 12.27% (0.35 0.35)
1-2 @ 6.47% (0.164 0.16)
0-2 @ 5.89% (0.291 0.29)
1-3 @ 2.07% (0.096 0.1)
0-3 @ 1.89% (0.132 0.13)
2-3 @ 1.14% (0.025 0.02)
Other @ 1.63%
Total : 31.35%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Lanus 0-1 Cruzeiro
Wednesday, October 30 at 10pm in Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Tucuman 1-0 Lanus
Monday, October 28 at 12.15am in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Cruzeiro 1-1 Lanus
Wednesday, October 23 at 11pm in Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Lanus 0-2 Independiente
Friday, October 18 at 11.15pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Newell's OB 2-1 Lanus
Saturday, October 5 at 9.30pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Lanus 0-0 Gimnasia
Tuesday, October 1 at 1.15am in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Boca Juniors 1-1 Deportivo Riestra
Sunday, October 27 at 10pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Tigre 3-0 Boca Juniors
Saturday, October 19 at 11.15pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Boca Juniors 1-0 Argentinos Jrs
Monday, October 7 at 1am in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Belgrano 2-0 Boca Juniors
Sunday, September 29 at 12am in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Boca Juniors 0-1 River Plate
Saturday, September 21 at 8pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Racing 2-1 Boca Juniors
Saturday, September 14 at 9.30pm in Argentine Primera Division


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