SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boca Juniors win with a probability of 36.31%. A win for Newell's Old Boys had a probability of 33.67% and a draw had a probability of 30%.
The most likely scoreline for a Boca Juniors win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.23%) and 0-2 (7.09%). The likeliest Newell's Old Boys win was 1-0 (12.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.49%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 13.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Boca Juniors in this match.
| Result | ||
| Newell's Old Boys | Draw | Boca Juniors |
33.67% ( 2.17) | 30.02% ( 1.16) | 36.31% ( -3.33) |
| Both teams to score 42.04% ( -2.67) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 34.8% ( -3.44) | 65.2% ( 3.44) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 15.97% ( -2.47) | 84.03% ( 2.47) |
| Newell's Old Boys Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.94% ( -0.3) | 36.06% ( 0.3) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.16% ( -0.31) | 72.84% ( 0.31) |
| Boca Juniors Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.75% ( -3.86) | 34.25% ( 3.86) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.05% ( -4.36) | 70.95% ( 4.36) |
| Score Analysis |
| Newell's Old Boys | Draw | Boca Juniors |
| 1-0 @ 12.59% ( 1.42) 2-1 @ 6.88% ( 0.04)2-0 @ 6.43% ( 0.68)3-1 @ 2.34% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 2.18% ( 0.21)3-2 @ 1.25% ( -0.14)Other @ 1.98% Total : 33.66% | 1-1 @ 13.49% ( 0.18) 0-0 @ 12.35% ( 1.48)2-2 @ 3.69% ( -0.39)Other @ 0.48% Total : 30.01% | 0-1 @ 13.23% ( 0.29) 1-2 @ 7.23% ( -0.7)0-2 @ 7.09% ( -0.62)1-3 @ 2.58% ( -0.56)0-3 @ 2.53% ( -0.53)2-3 @ 1.32% ( -0.3)Other @ 2.33% Total : 36.31% |
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