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Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 22
Nov 11, 2024 at 12.30am UK
Estadio Eva Peron de Junin

Sarmiento
0 - 2
Boca Juniors


Guiacobini (38'), Gudino (72'), Garcia (80')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Merentiel (77'), Zenon (90+3')
Zeballos (41'), Merentiel (43'), Figal (70'), Zenon (90+6')
Coverage of the Argentine Primera Division clash between Sarmiento and Boca Juniors.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Tucuman 1-0 Sarmiento
Monday, November 4 at 10pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Boca Juniors 4-1 Godoy Cruz
Wednesday, November 6 at 10.30pm in Argentine Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boca Juniors win with a probability of 38.79%. A draw had a probability of 31.4% and a win for Sarmiento had a probability of 29.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Boca Juniors win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8%) and 1-2 (7.02%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (14.59%), while for a Sarmiento win it was 1-0 (12.8%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Boca Juniors would win this match.

Result
SarmientoDrawBoca Juniors
29.8% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01) 31.42% (-0.14 -0.14) 38.79% (0.147 0.15)
Both teams to score 37.92% (0.311 0.31)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
30.29% (0.364 0.36)69.7% (-0.366 -0.37)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
12.95% (0.233 0.23)87.04% (-0.232 -0.23)
Sarmiento Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.43% (0.212 0.21)41.57% (-0.212 -0.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.94% (0.184 0.18)78.06% (-0.184 -0.18)
Boca Juniors Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.9% (0.297 0.3)35.1% (-0.297 -0.3)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.15% (0.31 0.31)71.85% (-0.30900000000001 -0.31)
Score Analysis
    Sarmiento 29.79%
    Boca Juniors 38.78%
    Draw 31.42%
SarmientoDrawBoca Juniors
1-0 @ 12.8% (-0.1 -0.1)
2-1 @ 5.89% (0.036 0.04)
2-0 @ 5.62% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
3-1 @ 1.72% (0.02 0.02)
3-0 @ 1.65% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
3-2 @ 0.9% (0.017 0.02)
Other @ 1.21%
Total : 29.79%
0-0 @ 14.59% (-0.2 -0.2)
1-1 @ 13.41% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 3.08% (0.044 0.04)
Other @ 0.33%
Total : 31.42%
0-1 @ 15.27% (-0.08 -0.08)
0-2 @ 8% (0.021 0.02)
1-2 @ 7.02% (0.06 0.06)
0-3 @ 2.79% (0.03 0.03)
1-3 @ 2.45% (0.04 0.04)
2-3 @ 1.08% (0.024 0.02)
Other @ 2.18%
Total : 38.78%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Tucuman 1-0 Sarmiento
Monday, November 4 at 10pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Sarmiento 0-0 Independiente
Thursday, October 31 at 10pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Newell's OB 1-1 Sarmiento
Saturday, October 26 at 9.15pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Sarmiento 1-1 Gimnasia
Friday, October 18 at 9pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Huracan 3-1 Sarmiento
Saturday, October 5 at 1am in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Sarmiento 1-0 Union
Sunday, September 29 at 11.30pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Boca Juniors 4-1 Godoy Cruz
Wednesday, November 6 at 10.30pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Lanus 1-0 Boca Juniors
Sunday, November 3 at 10.30pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Boca Juniors 1-1 Deportivo Riestra
Sunday, October 27 at 10pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Tigre 3-0 Boca Juniors
Saturday, October 19 at 11.15pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Boca Juniors 1-0 Argentinos Jrs
Monday, October 7 at 1am in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Belgrano 2-0 Boca Juniors
Sunday, September 29 at 12am in Argentine Primera Division


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