SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boca Juniors win with a probability of 38.02%. A win for Newell's Old Boys had a probability of 32.87% and a draw had a probability of 29.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Boca Juniors win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.69%) and 2-0 (7.35%). The likeliest Newell's Old Boys win was 0-1 (11.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.38%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Boca Juniors in this match.
| Result | ||
| Boca Juniors | Draw | Newell's Old Boys |
38.02% ( -0.31) | 29.11% ( -0.03) | 32.87% ( 0.34) |
| Both teams to score 44.32% ( 0.15) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 37.61% ( 0.15) | 62.38% ( -0.15) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 17.98% ( 0.11) | 82.02% ( -0.11) |
| Boca Juniors Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.3% ( -0.12) | 31.69% ( 0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.88% ( -0.13) | 68.11% ( 0.13) |
| Newell's Old Boys Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.89% ( 0.32) | 35.11% ( -0.32) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.14% ( 0.34) | 71.85% ( -0.34) |
| Score Analysis |
| Boca Juniors | Draw | Newell's Old Boys |
| 1-0 @ 12.78% ( -0.11) 2-1 @ 7.69% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 7.35% ( -0.09)3-1 @ 2.95% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 2.81% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 1.54% ( 0)Other @ 2.9% Total : 38.01% | 1-1 @ 13.38% 0-0 @ 11.12% ( -0.06)2-2 @ 4.03% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.58% Total : 29.11% | 0-1 @ 11.64% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 7.01% ( 0.06)0-2 @ 6.1% ( 0.07)1-3 @ 2.44% ( 0.04)0-3 @ 2.13% ( 0.04)2-3 @ 1.4% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.14% Total : 32.86% |
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