SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newell's Old Boys win with a probability of 47.45%. A draw had a probability of 29.8% and a win for Belgrano had a probability of 22.73%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newell's Old Boys win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.4%) and 2-1 (7.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (13.78%), while for a Belgrano win it was 0-1 (10.38%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 16.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Newell's Old Boys in this match.
| Result | ||
| Newell's Old Boys | Draw | Belgrano |
47.45% ( 0.43) | 29.81% ( 0.18) | 22.73% ( -0.61) |
| Both teams to score 37.42% ( -0.9) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 31.83% ( -0.83) | 68.17% ( 0.83) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 13.95% ( -0.56) | 86.05% ( 0.55) |
| Newell's Old Boys Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.72% ( -0.2) | 29.28% ( 0.19) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.76% ( -0.24) | 65.24% ( 0.24) |
| Belgrano Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 52.9% ( -1.12) | 47.09% ( 1.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 17.44% ( -0.86) | 82.56% ( 0.86) |
| Score Analysis |
| Newell's Old Boys | Draw | Belgrano |
| 1-0 @ 16.93% ( 0.42) 2-0 @ 10.4% ( 0.21)2-1 @ 7.83% ( -0.09)3-0 @ 4.26% ( 0.06)3-1 @ 3.21% ( -0.06)4-0 @ 1.31% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 1.21% ( -0.06)4-1 @ 0.99% ( -0.02)Other @ 1.32% Total : 47.45% | 0-0 @ 13.78% ( 0.42) 1-1 @ 12.75% ( -0.08)2-2 @ 2.95% ( -0.13)Other @ 0.32% Total : 29.8% | 0-1 @ 10.38% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 4.8% ( -0.18)0-2 @ 3.91% ( -0.13)1-3 @ 1.21% ( -0.09)0-3 @ 0.98% ( -0.07)Other @ 1.45% Total : 22.73% |
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