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Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 4
Feb 9, 2024 at 10pm UK
Estadio 15 de Abril

Union
1 - 3
Newell's OB

Del Blanco (72')
Gamba (45+4'), Corvalan (54'), Mosqueira (71')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Ramirez (7', 41', 58')
Mendez (76'), Martino (78')
Coverage of the Argentine Primera Division clash between Union and Newell's Old Boys.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: San Lorenzo 0-0 Union
Monday, February 5 at 9pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Newell's OB 1-0 Belgrano
Monday, February 5 at 12.30am in Argentine Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newell's Old Boys win with a probability of 34.47%. A win for Union had a probability of 33.28% and a draw had a probability of 32.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newell's Old Boys win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (6.89%) and 1-2 (6.33%). The likeliest Union win was 1-0 (14.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 0-0 (15.6%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Newell's Old Boys would win this match.

Result
UnionDrawNewell's Old Boys
33.28% (-0.11199999999999 -0.11) 32.26% (0.027000000000001 0.03) 34.47% (0.088000000000001 0.09)
Both teams to score 36.6% (-0.061999999999998 -0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
28.49% (-0.070999999999998 -0.07)71.51% (0.075000000000003 0.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
11.82% (-0.043999999999999 -0.04)88.18% (0.046000000000006 0.05)
Union Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.06% (-0.123 -0.12)39.94% (0.127 0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.41% (-0.114 -0.11)76.59% (0.119 0.12)
Newell's Old Boys Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.94% (0.023000000000003 0.02)39.07% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.22% (0.02 0.02)75.79% (-0.016000000000005 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Union 33.28%
    Newell's Old Boys 34.46%
    Draw 32.26%
UnionDrawNewell's Old Boys
1-0 @ 14.32% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-0 @ 6.57% (-0.028 -0.03)
2-1 @ 6.18% (-0.023000000000001 -0.02)
3-0 @ 2.01% (-0.015 -0.01)
3-1 @ 1.89% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 2.31%
Total : 33.28%
0-0 @ 15.6% (0.049999999999999 0.05)
1-1 @ 13.46%
2-2 @ 2.9% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 0.29%
Total : 32.26%
0-1 @ 14.66% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
0-2 @ 6.89% (0.026000000000001 0.03)
1-2 @ 6.33% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-3 @ 2.16% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
1-3 @ 1.98% (0.002 0)
2-3 @ 0.91% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 1.53%
Total : 34.46%

Read more!
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Form Guide
Last Game: San Lorenzo 0-0 Union
Monday, February 5 at 9pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Union 0-1 Estudiantes
Friday, February 2 at 12.30am in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Racing 0-1 Union
Sunday, January 28 at 12am in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Union 1-0 Tigre
Saturday, November 25 at 9pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Belgrano 4-1 Union
Sunday, November 12 at 10pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Union 0-0 Lanus
Sunday, November 5 at 7.30pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Newell's OB 1-0 Belgrano
Monday, February 5 at 12.30am in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Lanus 0-2 Newell's OB
Wednesday, January 31 at 12.30am in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: C. Cordoba 0-1 Newell's OB
Friday, January 26 at 12.15am in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Newell's OB 3-0 Defensa
Tuesday, November 28 at 12.30am in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Boca Juniors 1-0 Newell's OB
Sunday, November 12 at 7.45pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Newell's OB 0-1 Sarmiento
Monday, November 6 at 12am in Argentine Primera Division


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