SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Velez Sarsfield win with a probability of 60.53%. A draw had a probability of 23.9% and a win for Platense had a probability of 15.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Velez Sarsfield win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.87%) and 2-1 (9.19%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.95%), while for a Platense win it was 0-1 (6.54%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 11% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Velez Sarsfield | Draw | Platense |
60.53% ( -0.12) | 23.87% ( 0.01) | 15.6% ( 0.11) |
| Both teams to score 41.47% ( 0.21) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.77% ( 0.15) | 57.23% ( -0.15) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.92% ( 0.12) | 78.08% ( -0.12) |
| Velez Sarsfield Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.3% ( 0.01) | 18.7% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.95% ( 0.02) | 50.05% ( -0.02) |
| Platense Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 51% ( 0.25) | 49% ( -0.25) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 16.05% ( 0.18) | 83.95% ( -0.18) |
| Score Analysis |
| Velez Sarsfield | Draw | Platense |
| 1-0 @ 15.36% ( -0.08) 2-0 @ 12.87% ( -0.07)2-1 @ 9.19% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 7.2% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 5.14% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 3.02% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 2.15% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 1.83% ( 0.02)5-0 @ 1.01% ( -0)Other @ 2.75% Total : 60.52% | 1-1 @ 10.95% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 9.16% ( -0.05)2-2 @ 3.28% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.47% Total : 23.86% | 0-1 @ 6.54% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 3.91% ( 0.03)0-2 @ 2.33% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 0.93% ( 0.02)Other @ 1.9% Total : 15.6% |
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