SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Velez Sarsfield win with a probability of 38.89%. A win for Talleres had a probability of 32.33% and a draw had a probability of 28.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Velez Sarsfield win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.88%) and 2-0 (7.49%). The likeliest Talleres win was 0-1 (11.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.31%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Velez Sarsfield would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Velez Sarsfield | Draw | Talleres |
38.89% ( -0.1) | 28.78% ( 0.02) | 32.33% ( 0.08) |
| Both teams to score 45.13% ( -0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 38.65% ( -0.06) | 61.35% ( 0.07) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 18.75% ( -0.05) | 81.25% ( 0.05) |
| Velez Sarsfield Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.36% ( -0.09) | 30.64% ( 0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.11% ( -0.11) | 66.88% ( 0.11) |
| Talleres Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.06% ( 0.02) | 34.93% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.33% ( 0.03) | 71.67% ( -0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Velez Sarsfield | Draw | Talleres |
| 1-0 @ 12.66% 2-1 @ 7.88% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 7.49% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 3.11% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 2.95% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 1.63% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 0.92% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.25% Total : 38.88% | 1-1 @ 13.31% 0-0 @ 10.7% ( 0.03)2-2 @ 4.14% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.62% Total : 28.77% | 0-1 @ 11.25% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 7% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 5.92% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 2.46% ( 0)0-3 @ 2.08% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.45% ( -0)Other @ 2.17% Total : 32.33% |
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