SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a River Plate win with a probability of 46.91%. A draw had a probability of 26.7% and a win for Velez Sarsfield had a probability of 26.44%.
The most likely scoreline for a River Plate win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.01%) and 0-2 (8.98%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.58%), while for a Velez Sarsfield win it was 1-0 (8.79%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Velez Sarsfield | Draw | River Plate |
26.44% ( -0.74) | 26.66% ( 0.4) | 46.91% ( 0.35) |
| Both teams to score 48.19% ( -1.69) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.93% ( -1.92) | 56.08% ( 1.93) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.85% ( -1.58) | 77.15% ( 1.59) |
| Velez Sarsfield Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.33% ( -1.65) | 36.67% ( 1.66) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.54% ( -1.7) | 73.46% ( 1.7) |
| River Plate Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.1% ( -0.67) | 23.9% ( 0.67) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.89% ( -0.96) | 58.11% ( 0.97) |
| Score Analysis |
| Velez Sarsfield | Draw | River Plate |
| 1-0 @ 8.79% ( 0.26) 2-1 @ 6.31% ( -0.23)2-0 @ 4.41% ( -0.07)3-1 @ 2.11% ( -0.18)3-2 @ 1.51% ( -0.16)3-0 @ 1.48% ( -0.09)Other @ 1.82% Total : 26.44% | 1-1 @ 12.58% ( 0.12) 0-0 @ 8.77% ( 0.63)2-2 @ 4.52% ( -0.26)Other @ 0.79% Total : 26.65% | 0-1 @ 12.54% ( 0.67) 1-2 @ 9.01% ( -0.09)0-2 @ 8.98% ( 0.31)1-3 @ 4.3% ( -0.13)0-3 @ 4.28% ( 0.07)2-3 @ 2.16% ( -0.17)1-4 @ 1.54% ( -0.08)0-4 @ 1.53% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.58% Total : 46.9% |
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