SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a River Plate win with a probability of 72.79%. A draw had a probability of 17.9% and a win for Defensa y Justicia had a probability of 9.28%.
The most likely scoreline for a River Plate win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (13.68%) and 3-0 (10.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.36%), while for a Defensa y Justicia win it was 0-1 (3.91%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that River Plate would win this match.
| Result | ||
| River Plate | Draw | Defensa y Justicia |
72.79% ( -0.04) | 17.92% ( 0.27) | 9.28% ( -0.23) |
| Both teams to score 40.34% ( -1.69) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.83% ( -1.81) | 48.17% ( 1.81) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.67% ( -1.68) | 70.32% ( 1.68) |
| River Plate Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.21% ( -0.52) | 11.79% ( 0.51) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 63% ( -1.12) | 37% ( 1.12) |
| Defensa y Justicia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 45.73% ( -1.64) | 54.27% ( 1.64) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 12.56% ( -1.03) | 87.44% ( 1.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| River Plate | Draw | Defensa y Justicia |
| 2-0 @ 14.62% ( 0.49) 1-0 @ 13.68% ( 0.73)3-0 @ 10.42% ( 0.14)2-1 @ 8.94% ( -0.14)3-1 @ 6.37% ( -0.23)4-0 @ 5.57% ( -0.04)4-1 @ 3.4% ( -0.2)5-0 @ 2.38% ( -0.07)3-2 @ 1.95% ( -0.17)5-1 @ 1.46% ( -0.12)4-2 @ 1.04% ( -0.12)Other @ 2.97% Total : 72.79% | 1-1 @ 8.36% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 6.4% ( 0.47)2-2 @ 2.73% ( -0.18)Other @ 0.43% Total : 17.92% | 0-1 @ 3.91% ( 0.1) 1-2 @ 2.56% ( -0.11)0-2 @ 1.2% ( -0.03)Other @ 1.62% Total : 9.28% |
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