SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a River Plate win with a probability of 54.15%. A win for Fluminense had a probability of 22.93% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a River Plate win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.71%) and 2-0 (8.86%). The likeliest Fluminense win was 1-2 (5.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.76%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that River Plate would win this match.
| Result | ||
| River Plate | Draw | Fluminense |
54.15% ( 0.38) | 22.92% ( -0.02) | 22.93% ( -0.36) |
| Both teams to score 56.21% ( -0.36) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.2% ( -0.27) | 43.8% ( 0.27) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.81% ( -0.27) | 66.19% ( 0.27) |
| River Plate Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.89% ( 0.04) | 16.11% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.48% ( 0.07) | 45.52% ( -0.07) |
| Fluminense Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67% ( -0.46) | 33% ( 0.47) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.41% ( -0.51) | 69.59% ( 0.52) |
| Score Analysis |
| River Plate | Draw | Fluminense |
| 2-1 @ 9.82% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 9.71% ( 0.13)2-0 @ 8.86% ( 0.13)3-1 @ 5.98% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 5.39% ( 0.08)3-2 @ 3.31% ( -0.03)4-1 @ 2.73% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 2.46% ( 0.04)4-2 @ 1.51% ( -0.01)5-1 @ 1% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.38% Total : 54.16% | 1-1 @ 10.76% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.45% ( -0.06)0-0 @ 5.32% ( 0.06)3-3 @ 1.23% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.17% Total : 22.92% | 1-2 @ 5.96% ( -0.07) 0-1 @ 5.89% ( -0)0-2 @ 3.27% ( -0.04)1-3 @ 2.2% ( -0.05)2-3 @ 2.01% ( -0.05)0-3 @ 1.21% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.38% Total : 22.93% |
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