SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a River Plate win with a probability of 56.05%. A draw had a probability of 25.6% and a win for Banfield had a probability of 18.39%.
The most likely scoreline for a River Plate win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.87%) and 1-2 (9.07%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.7%), while for a Banfield win it was 1-0 (7.56%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that River Plate would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Banfield | Draw | River Plate |
18.39% ( -0.06) | 25.56% ( -0.05) | 56.05% ( 0.11) |
| Both teams to score 42.06% ( 0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 40.74% ( 0.12) | 59.25% ( -0.13) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.33% ( 0.09) | 79.66% ( -0.1) |
| Banfield Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 53.4% ( 0) | 46.59% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 17.82% ( 0) | 82.18% ( -0.01) |
| River Plate Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.76% ( 0.09) | 21.23% ( -0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.86% ( 0.15) | 54.14% ( -0.15) |
| Score Analysis |
| Banfield | Draw | River Plate |
| 1-0 @ 7.56% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 4.47% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 2.89% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 1.14% ( -0)Other @ 2.34% Total : 18.39% | 1-1 @ 11.7% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 9.89% ( -0.05)2-2 @ 3.46% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.49% Total : 25.55% | 0-1 @ 15.33% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 11.87% ( 0.01)1-2 @ 9.07% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 6.14% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 4.69% ( 0.02)0-4 @ 2.38% ( 0.02)1-4 @ 1.82% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.79% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.97% Total : 56.04% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
