SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a River Plate win with a probability of 65.25%. A draw had a probability of 21.9% and a win for Lanus had a probability of 12.84%.
The most likely scoreline for a River Plate win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.91%) and 2-1 (9.14%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.05%), while for a Lanus win it was 0-1 (5.53%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 15.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for River Plate in this match.
| Result | ||
| River Plate | Draw | Lanus |
65.25% ( -0.2) | 21.91% ( 0.06) | 12.84% ( 0.14) |
| Both teams to score 40.33% ( 0.18) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.96% ( 0.04) | 55.04% ( -0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.69% ( 0.03) | 76.31% ( -0.03) |
| River Plate Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.76% ( -0.05) | 16.24% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.23% ( -0.1) | 45.77% ( 0.1) |
| Lanus Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 48.15% ( 0.25) | 51.85% ( -0.24) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 14.1% ( 0.16) | 85.9% ( -0.16) |
| Score Analysis |
| River Plate | Draw | Lanus |
| 1-0 @ 15.3% ( -0.05) 2-0 @ 13.91% ( -0.07)2-1 @ 9.14% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 8.43% ( -0.06)3-1 @ 5.54% ( 0)4-0 @ 3.83% ( -0.03)4-1 @ 2.52% ( -0)3-2 @ 1.82% ( 0.01)5-0 @ 1.39% ( -0.02)5-1 @ 0.91% ( -0)Other @ 2.47% Total : 65.24% | 1-1 @ 10.05% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 8.42% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 3% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.43% Total : 21.9% | 0-1 @ 5.53% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 3.3% ( 0.04)0-2 @ 1.82% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.19% Total : 12.84% |
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