SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 22 | Central Cordoba | 12 | -8 | 11 |
| 23 | Rosario Central | 12 | -6 | 10 |
| 24 | Atletico Tucuman | 12 | -9 | 10 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 15 | Colon | 13 | 0 | 16 |
| 16 | Godoy Cruz | 12 | -1 | 15 |
| 17 | San Lorenzo | 14 | -2 | 15 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rosario Central win with a probability of 47.67%. A win for Godoy Cruz had a probability of 27.07% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rosario Central win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.35%) and 2-0 (8.43%). The likeliest Godoy Cruz win was 0-1 (7.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.01%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Rosario Central in this match.
| Result | ||
| Rosario Central | Draw | Godoy Cruz |
47.67% ( 4.1) | 25.26% ( 0.48) | 27.07% ( -4.57) |
| Both teams to score 52.85% ( -4.37) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.75% ( -4.44) | 50.25% ( 4.44) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.8% ( -4.08) | 72.2% ( 4.08) |
| Rosario Central Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.9% ( -0.02) | 21.1% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.07% ( -0.03) | 53.93% ( 0.03) |
| Godoy Cruz Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.98% ( -5.52) | 33.02% ( 5.52) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.39% ( -6.61) | 69.61% ( 6.61) |
| Score Analysis |
| Rosario Central | Draw | Godoy Cruz |
| 1-0 @ 10.84% ( 1.82) 2-1 @ 9.35% ( 0.28)2-0 @ 8.43% ( 1.41)3-1 @ 4.85% ( 0.14)3-0 @ 4.37% ( 0.73)3-2 @ 2.69% ( -0.35)4-1 @ 1.89% ( 0.05)4-0 @ 1.7% ( 0.28)4-2 @ 1.04% ( -0.14)Other @ 2.51% Total : 47.67% | 1-1 @ 12.01% ( 0.36) 0-0 @ 6.97% ( 1.17)2-2 @ 5.18% ( -0.68)3-3 @ 0.99% ( -0.32)Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.26% | 0-1 @ 7.72% ( 0.24) 1-2 @ 6.65% ( -0.87)0-2 @ 4.28% ( -0.55)1-3 @ 2.46% ( -0.78)2-3 @ 1.91% ( -0.61)0-3 @ 1.58% ( -0.5)Other @ 2.47% Total : 27.07% |
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