SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Estudiantes win with a probability of 40.47%. A win for Instituto had a probability of 30.69% and a draw had a probability of 28.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Estudiantes win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8%) and 0-2 (7.93%). The likeliest Instituto win was 1-0 (11.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.28%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Instituto | Draw | Estudiantes |
30.69% ( 0.53) | 28.84% ( 0.36) | 40.47% ( -0.9) |
| Both teams to score 44.51% ( -0.78) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 38.11% ( -1.06) | 61.89% ( 1.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 18.34% ( -0.79) | 81.65% ( 0.79) |
| Instituto Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.56% ( -0.17) | 36.44% ( 0.17) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 26.77% ( -0.17) | 73.22% ( 0.17) |
| Estudiantes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.02% ( -1.04) | 29.98% ( 1.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 33.9% ( -1.27) | 66.09% ( 1.26) |
| Score Analysis |
| Instituto | Draw | Estudiantes |
| 1-0 @ 11.02% ( 0.38) 2-1 @ 6.71% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 5.57% ( 0.17)3-1 @ 2.26% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 1.87% ( 0.05)3-2 @ 1.36% ( -0.04)Other @ 1.9% Total : 30.68% | 1-1 @ 13.28% ( 0.08) 0-0 @ 10.92% ( 0.43)2-2 @ 4.04% ( -0.11)Other @ 0.59% Total : 28.83% | 0-1 @ 13.15% ( 0.14) 1-2 @ 8% ( -0.18)0-2 @ 7.93% ( -0.14)1-3 @ 3.21% ( -0.17)0-3 @ 3.18% ( -0.15)2-3 @ 1.62% ( -0.09)1-4 @ 0.97% ( -0.08)0-4 @ 0.96% ( -0.07)Other @ 1.44% Total : 40.46% |
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