SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a San Lorenzo win with a probability of 36.66%. A win for Sarmiento had a probability of 34.08% and a draw had a probability of 29.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a San Lorenzo win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.49%) and 0-2 (7.03%). The likeliest Sarmiento win was 1-0 (12.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.42%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that San Lorenzo would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Sarmiento | Draw | San Lorenzo |
34.08% ( -0.02) | 29.26% ( -0.02) | 36.66% ( 0.05) |
| Both teams to score 44.09% ( 0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 37.25% ( 0.07) | 62.75% ( -0.07) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 17.72% ( 0.05) | 82.29% ( -0.05) |
| Sarmiento Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.55% ( 0.02) | 34.45% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.83% ( 0.02) | 71.16% ( -0.02) |
| San Lorenzo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.26% ( 0.07) | 32.74% ( -0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.7% ( 0.08) | 69.3% ( -0.07) |
| Score Analysis |
| Sarmiento | Draw | San Lorenzo |
| 1-0 @ 12.01% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 7.15% ( 0)2-0 @ 6.4% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 2.54% ( 0)3-0 @ 2.28% ( -0)3-2 @ 1.42% ( 0)Other @ 2.27% Total : 34.07% | 1-1 @ 13.42% 0-0 @ 11.27% ( -0.03)2-2 @ 3.99% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.57% Total : 29.25% | 0-1 @ 12.59% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 7.49% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 7.03% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 2.79% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 2.62% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.49% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.65% Total : 36.65% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
