SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 16 | Godoy Cruz | 12 | -1 | 15 |
| 17 | San Lorenzo | 14 | -2 | 15 |
| 18 | Lanus | 13 | -1 | 14 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 18 | Lanus | 13 | -1 | 14 |
| 19 | Arsenal Sarandi | 12 | 0 | 13 |
| 20 | Independiente | 13 | -4 | 13 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a San Lorenzo win with a probability of 51.01%. A draw had a probability of 26.3% and a win for Arsenal Sarandi had a probability of 22.65%.
The most likely scoreline for a San Lorenzo win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.23%) and 2-1 (9.12%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.3%), while for an Arsenal Sarandi win it was 0-1 (8.3%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| San Lorenzo | Draw | Arsenal Sarandi |
51.01% ( -0.17) | 26.33% ( 0.07) | 22.65% ( 0.11) |
| Both teams to score 45.59% ( -0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.33% ( -0.14) | 57.67% ( 0.14) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.57% ( -0.11) | 78.43% ( 0.11) |
| San Lorenzo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.29% ( -0.14) | 22.72% ( 0.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.62% ( -0.2) | 56.38% ( 0.2) |
| Arsenal Sarandi Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.98% ( 0.03) | 41.02% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.43% ( 0.02) | 77.57% ( -0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| San Lorenzo | Draw | Arsenal Sarandi |
| 1-0 @ 13.8% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 10.23% ( -0.03)2-1 @ 9.12% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 5.06% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 4.51% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 2.01% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.87% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 1.67% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.74% Total : 51% | 1-1 @ 12.3% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 9.32% ( 0.05)2-2 @ 4.06% ( -0)Other @ 0.65% Total : 26.33% | 0-1 @ 8.3% ( 0.05) 1-2 @ 5.48% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 3.7% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 1.63% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.21% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.1% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.23% Total : 22.65% |
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