SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Estudiantes win with a probability of 59.41%. A draw had a probability of 25.3% and a win for San Lorenzo had a probability of 15.32%.
The most likely scoreline for a Estudiantes win was 1-0 with a probability of 17.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.38%) and 2-1 (8.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.11%), while for a San Lorenzo win it was 0-1 (7.13%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 11% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Estudiantes | Draw | San Lorenzo |
59.41% ( 0.27) | 25.27% ( -0.14) | 15.32% ( -0.13) |
| Both teams to score 37.61% ( 0.08) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 37.87% ( 0.25) | 62.13% ( -0.25) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 18.17% ( 0.19) | 81.83% ( -0.19) |
| Estudiantes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.95% ( 0.21) | 21.05% ( -0.21) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.15% ( 0.33) | 53.85% ( -0.33) |
| San Lorenzo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 47.64% ( -0.03) | 52.37% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 13.76% ( -0.02) | 86.24% ( 0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Estudiantes | Draw | San Lorenzo |
| 1-0 @ 17.17% ( -0.05) 2-0 @ 13.38% ( 0.05)2-1 @ 8.66% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 6.95% ( 0.07)3-1 @ 4.5% ( 0.04)4-0 @ 2.71% ( 0.04)4-1 @ 1.75% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 1.46% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.83% Total : 59.41% | 1-1 @ 11.11% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 11.02% ( -0.1)2-2 @ 2.8% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.34% Total : 25.27% | 0-1 @ 7.13% ( -0.07) 1-2 @ 3.59% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 2.31% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.28% Total : 15.32% |
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