SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 16 | Godoy Cruz | 12 | -1 | 15 |
| 17 | San Lorenzo | 14 | -2 | 15 |
| 18 | Lanus | 13 | -1 | 14 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 24 | Atletico Tucuman | 12 | -9 | 10 |
| 25 | Platense | 13 | -10 | 10 |
| 26 | Patronato | 12 | -13 | 10 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a San Lorenzo win with a probability of 49.35%. A draw had a probability of 26.8% and a win for Platense had a probability of 23.88%.
The most likely scoreline for a San Lorenzo win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.86%) and 2-1 (9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.5%), while for a Platense win it was 0-1 (8.68%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that San Lorenzo would win this match.
| Result | ||
| San Lorenzo | Draw | Platense |
49.35% ( -0.15) | 26.77% ( 0.06) | 23.88% ( 0.08) |
| Both teams to score 45.67% ( -0.09) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.79% ( -0.15) | 58.21% ( 0.15) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.14% ( -0.12) | 78.86% ( 0.12) |
| San Lorenzo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.3% ( -0.13) | 23.7% ( 0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.18% ( -0.19) | 57.82% ( 0.19) |
| Platense Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.86% ( -0.01) | 40.14% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.22% ( -0.01) | 76.78% ( 0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| San Lorenzo | Draw | Platense |
| 1-0 @ 13.69% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 9.86% ( -0.02)2-1 @ 9% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 4.73% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 4.32% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 1.97% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.7% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 1.56% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.51% Total : 49.34% | 1-1 @ 12.5% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 9.51% ( 0.05)2-2 @ 4.11% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.65% Total : 26.77% | 0-1 @ 8.68% ( 0.05) 1-2 @ 5.71% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 3.96% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 1.74% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.25% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.21% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.34% Total : 23.88% |
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