SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boca Juniors win with a probability of 40.5%. A draw had a probability of 29.9% and a win for Sarmiento had a probability of 29.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Boca Juniors win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.2%) and 1-2 (7.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.37%), while for a Sarmiento win it was 1-0 (11.66%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Sarmiento | Draw | Boca Juniors |
29.6% ( -0.36) | 29.9% ( -0.04) | 40.5% ( 0.39) |
| Both teams to score 41.41% ( -0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 34.5% ( 0.01) | 65.49% ( -0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 15.76% ( 0.01) | 84.23% ( -0.01) |
| Sarmiento Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.71% ( -0.28) | 39.29% ( 0.27) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24% ( -0.26) | 76% ( 0.26) |
| Boca Juniors Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.21% ( 0.23) | 31.79% ( -0.24) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.78% ( 0.27) | 68.22% ( -0.28) |
| Score Analysis |
| Sarmiento | Draw | Boca Juniors |
| 1-0 @ 11.66% ( -0.1) 2-1 @ 6.25% ( -0.06)2-0 @ 5.45% ( -0.09)3-1 @ 1.95% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 1.7% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 1.12% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.48% Total : 29.6% | 1-1 @ 13.37% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 12.48% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 3.58% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.46% Total : 29.88% | 0-1 @ 14.31% ( 0.09) 0-2 @ 8.2% ( 0.1)1-2 @ 7.66% ( 0.04)0-3 @ 3.13% ( 0.06)1-3 @ 2.93% ( 0.04)2-3 @ 1.37% ( 0)Other @ 2.89% Total : 40.5% |
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