SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 26 | Patronato | 12 | -13 | 10 |
| 27 | Talleres | 13 | -13 | 8 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 20 | Independiente | 13 | -4 | 13 |
| 21 | Velez Sarsfield | 12 | -2 | 12 |
| 22 | Central Cordoba | 12 | -8 | 11 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Talleres win with a probability of 46.38%. A win for Velez Sarsfield had a probability of 27.04% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Talleres win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.01%) and 2-0 (8.78%). The likeliest Velez Sarsfield win was 0-1 (8.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.57%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Talleres | Draw | Velez Sarsfield |
46.38% ( -0) | 26.58% ( 0) | 27.04% ( 0) |
| Both teams to score 48.84% ( -0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.55% ( -0) | 55.45% ( 0) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.36% ( -0) | 76.64% ( 0) |
| Talleres Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.12% ( -0) | 23.88% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 41.92% ( -0) | 58.08% ( 0) |
| Velez Sarsfield Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.17% ( 0) | 35.83% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 27.39% ( 0) | 72.61% ( 0) |
| Score Analysis |
| Talleres | Draw | Velez Sarsfield |
| 1-0 @ 12.25% 2-1 @ 9.01% 2-0 @ 8.78% 3-1 @ 4.3% ( -0)3-0 @ 4.19% 3-2 @ 2.21% 4-1 @ 1.54% 4-0 @ 1.5% Other @ 2.61% Total : 46.38% | 1-1 @ 12.57% 0-0 @ 8.56% ( 0)2-2 @ 4.62% Other @ 0.83% Total : 26.58% | 0-1 @ 8.78% ( 0) 1-2 @ 6.45% 0-2 @ 4.51% ( 0)1-3 @ 2.21% 2-3 @ 1.58% 0-3 @ 1.54% Other @ 1.96% Total : 27.04% |
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