Copa Libertadores | Quarter-Finals | 2nd Leg
Aug 11, 2022 at 1.30am UK
Estadio Mario Alberto Kempes
We said: Talleres 1-1 Velez Sarsfield (Velez Sarsfield win 4-3 on aggregate)
If last week's first leg is anything to go by, Thursday's contest should be an exciting one, albeit with a different dynamic as Talleres look to come from behind while their visitors set out to hold their lead.
While the hosts will go all out for goals to overturn the deficit, we see Velez Sarsfield having enough to avoid a defeat on the day and stay ahead on aggregate.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Talleres win with a probability of 46.38%. A win for Velez Sarsfield had a probability of 27.04% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Talleres win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.01%) and 2-0 (8.78%). The likeliest Velez Sarsfield win was 0-1 (8.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.57%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood.
| Result |
| Talleres | Draw | Velez Sarsfield |
46.38% ( -0) | 26.58% ( 0) | 27.04% ( 0) |
| Both teams to score 48.84% ( -0) |
